Laserfiche WebLink
YOY (%) Change <br />LEADING INDICATORS OF ECONOMIC ACTIVITY <br />15.0% <br />10.0% <br />5.0% <br />0.0% <br />-5.0% <br />- 10.0% <br />- 15.0% <br />- 20.0% <br />-25.0% <br />CM <br />CHANDLER <br />ASSET MANAGEMENT <br />Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) <br />1.00 <br />94 94 e/ .14 .10 � '1, 10 10 10 -goa°d, �'d' �'9,s' a9 6G'0O °°O9 1 �'.1 a°� a°� <br />S 9 � 1 S ' 1 S <br />Source: The Conference Board <br />3 Month Average <br />0.75 <br />0.50 <br />0.25 <br />0.00 <br />-0.25 <br />- 0.50 <br />- 0.75 <br />- 1.00 <br />Recession <br />-1, -T, 1, -T , -94, -T , -T , -1, -T , -T, <br />a°:� e°t a°:9 9 a°:O g 0 �:1 a° 1 °:� <br />S 9 ,�' a°.� 1 S 6:0 9 .3' � a1 <br />Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago <br />The Conference Board's Leading Economic Index (LEI) fell by 0.5% in August, following a 0.1% increase in July. The LEI decreased by 3.6% <br />year -over -year. The Conference Board is expecting economic growth to slow in the second half of 2025 due to consumer pessimism, soft <br />manufacturing new orders, and negative impacts from tariffs. The Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) came in at -0.12% in <br />August after a downwardly revised -0.28 in July, indicating that economic momentum remained below its historical trend for the fifth <br />consecutive month. The three-month moving average shows a similar trend at -0.18 in August from -0.20 in the prior month signaling <br />ongoing below -trend growth in national economic activity. <br />15/73 <br />8 <br />