Laserfiche WebLink
Retail 24/7. <br />OWNER ADVISORY <br />RETAIL BOX REPORT <br />MID -YEAR 2011 <br />CBRE <br />CB RICHARD ELLIS <br />METHODOLOGY <br />We surveyed vacant retail box spaces <br />in excess of 20,000 contiguous square <br />'eet located in shopping centers <br />or freestanding buildings with the <br />Denver Metro Area. Absorption was <br />based on retailers that either signed <br />leases or opened within these spaces <br />in the last 2 years. The boxes were <br />graded on A, B or C qualify basis. <br />OPPORTU N (TIES I "The secret of success is to be ready when opportunity <br />comes." AIII lough Benjamin Disraeli, Victorian Prime Minister of the United <br />Kingdom, wasn't discussing commercial real estate when he originally <br />made the above quote, the message certoinly opplies to Denver's current <br />retail market. While Denver's retail market has suffered in previous quarters <br />from a lack of prospects, improving retail market conditions - increased <br />occupancy levels, positive absorption and the stabilization of rental rates - <br />indicate new opportunities are emerging throughout the metro area. <br />Both owners and retailers are looking for inventive ways to complete deals <br />and reduce costs. Retail owners and operators are considering o wider <br />range of tenants for their large spaces, and using creative leasing methods <br />to recapture market lease rates. Retailers, meanwhile, are seeing value <br />opportunities in recently vacated class A spaces (primarily old Ultimate <br />Eledronics and Borders vacancies). As a result, 17 boxes hove been <br />absorbed year -to -date, approximately 700,000 square feet. The majority <br />of this activity occurred in the 2nd quarter, with 12 box transactions on the <br />books. Although the number of boxes on the market peaked at 90 at the <br />end of 1st quarter, especially due to the early 2011 announcements of <br />bankruptcies and closings for Ultimate Electronics and Borders, the end of <br />the 2nd quarter saw a significant drop, to 79 boxes available metro -wide. <br />Who are the current players and where are the opportunities? Entertainment <br />uses are becoming more popular; both Game Shack and Big Time Tromp <br />have leased space. Health clubs continue to find appropriate space in niche <br />markets while specialty retailers, including sporting goods and discounters, <br />are capitalizing on lower rents to increase their footprint. Additionally, <br />grocery retailers continue to be active in the <br />Denver market, completing five of the 17 box <br />deals so fnr <br />ADVISORY l The lingering effect of the <br />recession has retailers focusing on optimization <br />of revenue producing space and occupancy <br />cost. In some cases landlords are providing breaks on the front -end of <br />deals to position their centers for the long term. Others ore providing more <br />creotive structures to optimize the mix at their centers. There is increased <br />pressure for retailers to reposition their stores in their markets for long -term <br />growth, therefore "bulletproofing" and "right sizing" for the community. <br />To achieve their respective goals, both owners and retailers are seeking <br />retail advisors to share local, regional and national trends and to assist in <br />implementing solutions unique to their specific situations. <br />As an example, Best Buy renewed their lease at Park Meadows, and will <br />downsize their portion by 10,000 5F, to 50,000 SF, reducing their footprint. <br />One measure of retail productivity is sales per square foot; by reducing <br />their average store size and limiting the amount of stock per location, there <br />is less need for storage as products are getting smaller - three or four <br />High Definition TVs take up about as much room as one rear projection <br />TV Best Buy increases their productivity and makes their store easier to <br />navigate - responding to both financial requirements and customer <br />trends. By subleasing their remaining 10,000 SF, Best Buy and the landlord <br />both benefit - Best Buy optimizes their spoce, and the landlord has an <br />opportunity to create a broader -based shopping environment, potentially <br />increasing traffic and revenue for the center. <br />National retailers overall are getting more creative when leasing or <br />renewing. Bed Both & Beyond recently renewed two locations in Denver. <br />In both coses, CBRE worked out long -term <br />lease solutions in order to position the retailer <br />appropriately going forward. As an advisor for the <br />landlord, CBRE is working with several property <br />owners with grocers as they look to expand several <br />locations throughout Denver via new locations and <br />expansion of existing facilities. <br />TRENDS I We are seeing more competition than ever in the retail sector. <br />Several "box" tenants are shrinking. Inventory levels are also shrinking. <br />Community centers are performing well and power centers are being <br />reinvigorated. Retailers are fighting to keep their market shore against <br />the competition. Internet sales continue to rise. <br />Retailers are realizing they cannot compete with <br />the huge inventory available on the Internet and <br />the large section available on "key" items, and <br />instead are focusing on offering edited choices in <br />their brick- and -mortar locations. <br />enter the market. A few grocers are also closing stores in the area and we <br />expect their locations to be leased by competitors in the coming year. <br />As consumers continue to search for discounts and bargains, value oriented <br />retailers continue to be very active. The home goods sector is also becoming <br />more active. Housing sales ore slowly increasing and housing developers <br />ore beginning to look for land. As the housing industry stabilizes and shifts <br />bock into growth mode, home good sales are also expected to increase. <br />IKEA's® grand opening, currently scheduled for July 27th, is creating much <br />anticipation and is expected to energize the home goods sector locally. <br />Entertainment uses are also hot. Box locations ore often ideal for <br />entertainment uses, and the competitive pricing for class 8 and C locations <br />appeals to those tenants. Additionally, sporting goods and health clubs are <br />increasing their activity in the market, after 18 months of little or no activity. <br />2012 OUTLOOK I Retailers are <br />cautiously optimistic and, as consumer <br />confidence increases, we expect to see <br />the retail market to continue to stabilize <br />and grow. Retailers in general are <br />currently seeing value opportunities in <br />the market, and are acting on them. <br />Class A locations ore experiencing the most activity despite the higher <br />development costs. It is expected that this activity will trickle into the doss B <br />locations and create a bit more pressure in the markets as retorters focus <br />on location and pricing opportunities. Over 50% of the current inventory is <br />class C retail boxes; finding creative solutions for their challenges will be <br />a priority. <br />"Retailers are cautiously optimistic <br />and, as consumer confidence increases, <br />we expect to see the retail market to <br />continue to stabilize and grow." <br />"The lingering <br />recession has reta <br />optimization of re <br />space and occupa <br />effect of the <br />ilers focusing on <br />venue producing <br />ncy cost." <br />Grocery retailers continue to be very active in Denver, and market shore <br />is shifting with the big three (King Soopers /Kroger, Weimar, and Safeway). <br />Consumers' buying habits are changing and grocers are working hard to <br />keep up with the shifting trends. For the big three grocers in the market, <br />this means a continuation of pricing wars. While some grocery retailers <br />are focusing on smaller stores with a "market feel," expansions in select <br />locations are also common as is the addition of fuel centers. Independent, <br />regional and ethnic grocers are also very active, looking for locations to <br />WINNING SOLUTIONS I 'on Weisiger, Jim Lee and Matthew <br />assignments, completing seven out of <br />17 transactions, or over 40;, of completed deals, in the first half of 2011. <br />In addition, we are working to "bulletproof" retail centers by taking key <br />tenants and creatively working with municipalities, landlords and tenants <br />to create solutions that optimize configuration, tenant base and revenue <br />opportunities. These solutions are not unique to Denver; instead similar <br />activity is seen in similar size markets nationwide. Working together and <br />with notional CBRE team members, we are able to identify notional and <br />regional trends to implement value -added solutions for our clients. <br />Let us put our experience to work for you. <br />CLASS A 117 PROPERTIES AVAILABLE <br />CLASS B 1 22 PROPERTIES AVAILABLE <br />40 PROPERTIES AVAILABLE <br />• Newer retail boxes in vibrant clusters, i.e. pow,• <br />centers and freestanding buildings in regional <br />locations. Many are mall peripheral. <br />• 17 Closs A boxes of just under 620,000 SF. <br />• Includes 13 vacant former Circuit City, Ultimate <br />Electronics and Linens 'n Things retail stores. <br />• In high demand this year with tenants such as <br />Mershalls, Nordstrom Rock and Colorado Ski & Golf <br />actively leasing this product class. <br />• Old boxes constructed in power centers, community <br />centers or freestonding locutions. <br />• May be located in strong trade areas but hove <br />physical troits that negatively impact their desirability. <br />• These properties have been absorbed by tenants <br />such as Big Lots and PGA Superstore <br />• Activity in this category Is often driven by landlords <br />able to be aggressive with rents and TI allowances. <br />• Typically constructed between 1980's and 1990 in <br />secondary or neighborhood locations <br />• Mony were originally occupied by grocery stores or <br />other single - tenant users. <br />40 vocont Class C boxes 11.86 million SF). <br />Most of the Class C boxes were leased or occupied <br />by secondary users, including Goodwill, ARC and <br />Dollar Tree. <br />JON WEISIGER 1 JIM LEE 1 MATTHEW DEBARTOLOMEIS <br />