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Recreation/Senior Center and Aquatic Center Expansion Task Force Agenda and Packet 2016 06 29
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Recreation/Senior Center and Aquatic Center Expansion Task Force Agenda and Packet 2016 06 29
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RSACETFPKT 2016 06 29
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2010 U.S. Census for Louisville, as well as a population estimate for 2015 and projection for 2020. The <br /> city's annual growth rate from 2000 through 2010 was-0.44%. Esri's projected growth rate for 2015 <br /> through 2020 is 1.23%for Louisville, compared to the projected 2015–2020 annual growth rate for the <br /> state of Colorado at 1.29%. As a land locked community, growth will not be experienced through <br /> annexation and subdivision expansion, but rather infill, which is limited. <br /> Table 2: Louisville Population Projections and Growth, 2000-2020 <br /> US Census(2000 and 2010) and Esri Projections <br /> 2000 Population 19,203 <br /> 2010 Population 18,376 <br /> [2015 Estimated 19,662 <br /> 2020 Projected 20,901 <br /> Source:2010 U.S. Census;2015 estimates and 2020 forecast provided by Esri Business Information Solutions. <br /> Population Age Distribution <br /> The age demographics have undergone a number of changes in Louisville from 2010 to 2015 with these <br /> trends predicted to continue through 2020.The percentage of Louisville residents in the 65-74 age <br /> cohort is expected to increase from 2010 to 2020 by 5.9%, making up 11%of the total population. The <br /> only other age cohorts expected to increase in population by 2020 is the 25-34 group (by 0.7%from <br /> 2010) and the 75-84 age group (by 0.6%from 2010). All other age cohorts are expected to decrease in <br /> numbers,the most significant change occurring in the 45-54 age range, who made up 19.7%of the <br /> population in 2010, down 4.5%in 2020. Although age shifts are projected to be slight,the facility design <br /> upon which these operations and maintenance figures are based, is considered to be flexible in regard <br /> to demographic shifts and resultant changing needs in the future. <br /> B. Relevant Trends <br /> Demographic Trends Influencing Recreation Programming <br /> a. Boomer Basics <br /> Baby boomers are defined as individuals born between 1946 and 1964, as stated in "Leisure <br /> Programming for Baby Boomers.i'They are a generation that consists of nearly 76 million Americans. As <br /> baby boomers enter retirement,they will be looking for opportunities in fitness, sports, outdoors, arts <br /> and cultural events, and other activities that suit their lifestyles. Emilyn Sheffield, Professor of <br /> Recreation and Parks Management at the California State University, at Chico, in the NPRA July 2012 <br /> Parks and Recreation magazine article titled "Five Trends Shaping Tomorrow Today," indicated that Baby <br /> Boomers are driving the aging of America, with boomers and seniors over 65 composing about 39%of <br /> the nation's population2. <br /> b. The Millennial Generation <br /> Over 80 million people between the ages of 15 and 35 now belong to the Millennial Generation,the <br /> largest of any generation group.3 This group is highly diverse, with 42%of American Millennials <br /> 1 Linda Cochran,Anne Roshschadl,and Jodi Rudick, "Leisure Programming For Baby Boomers," Human Kinetics, <br /> 2009. <br /> 2 Emilyn Sheffield, "Five Trends Shaping Tomorrow Today," Parks and Recreation,July 2012, p. 16-17. <br /> 3 The Colorado College State of the Rockies Project. MILLENNIALS IN THE WEST.A Survey of the Attitudes of <br /> Voters in Six Western States,2015. <br /> City of Louisville,Colorado 7 <br /> 11 <br />
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