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W L'�Tyi' Memorandum <br />s��I.�e <br />Parks & Recreation <br />To: Finance Committee <br />From: Nathan Mosley, Director of Parks, Recreation and Open Space <br />Date: August 18, 2020 <br />Subject: 2020 -2026 Recreation Center Revenue Projections <br />Purpose <br />The purpose of this agenda item is to provide three potential revenue scenarios for <br />consideration and discussion by the Finance Committee. The goal of this discussion is to <br />determine a "most likely" revenue scenario that can serve as the revenue baseline for the <br />Recreation & Senior Center. <br />Background <br />On March 14, 2020, the City closed the Recreation & Senior Center (RSC), the Library, the <br />Museum and Arts Center until further notice. Two days later, on March 16, the Coal Creek Golf <br />Course (CCGC) was closed as well. These closures were made in an effort to reduce community <br />transmission of the virus consistent with state and local requirements and public health <br />guidance. <br />While the Coal Creek Golf Course was able to reopen on April 25, the Louisville Recreation and <br />Senior Center remained closed through June 30, reopening on Wednesday July, 1. Currently the <br />Recreation Center is operating under local, state and federal guidance. This currently includes <br />requiring facial coverings, capacity restrictions and other social distancing measures. The Senior <br />Center remains closed based on guidance from the state. <br />These closures have had significant impacts on revenue and will continue to impact revenue at <br />the Recreation Center due to ongoing operational restrictions and decreases in the amount of <br />guests using the facility. <br />This agenda item material includes three different revenue scenarios. <br />Considerations/assumptions that were used to create the "Most Likely" and "Worst Case" <br />scenarios are included as an attachment to this memo as is an excel spreadsheet which includes <br />a tab with a graphic representation of the three revenue projections as well as a tab with <br />comparisons between the scenarios with cumulative losses over the 6 year period. Each <br />scenario is compared to 2019 actual revenues. The scenarios include: <br />• Best Case (This scenario was presented to finance committee as the baseline revenue <br />projection in July). <br />o This scenario is based on a 50% reduction in membership revenue for the <br />remainder of the year and a 75% reduction in programming revenue for the <br />remainder of the year. There were some slight variations in projections for <br />specific revenue line items that. <br />o This scenario represents a 44% decrease in operational revenues. <br />o The 6 year cumulative decrease in revenue compared to 2019 revenues is <br />$3,458,517. <br />10 <br />